Real Fronteravs
Yaracuyanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Frontera 0-1 Yaracuyanos FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Frontera 0-3 Yaracuyanos FC
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.31 | 20.6% | 20.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.6% | 26.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 52.8% | 53.5% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Real Frontera 0–1 Yaracuyanos FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20