Real Fronteravs
Fundación Lara Deportiva
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/25/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fundación Lara Deportiva · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Frontera 0-4 Fundación Lara Deportiva
Original prediction
Fundación Lara Deportiva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 12:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.68 | 19.1% | 17.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.3% | 21.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 57.6% | 60.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–312%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Fundación Lara Deportiva
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
Fundación Lara Deportiva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60