Primera DivisionPrimera Division
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:41
Real Estelí

Real Estelí

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11
Full time
UNAN Managua

UNAN Managua

Away
Estadio Independencia
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Real Estelí(46%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Real Estelí
46%
Draw
26%
UNAN Managua
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Real Estelí46%
Draw26%
UNAN Managua28%

Real Estelí leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Real Estelí head into this in Primera Division fixture at Estadio Independencia in unknown form, while UNAN Managua arrive in unknown form.

Real Estelí have limited home data in the engine at this stage. UNAN Managua have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Real Estelí and UNAN Managua in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Real Estelí to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Real Estelí 4601%, Draw 2558%, UNAN Managua 2841%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

GoalVio's model predicts Real Estelí to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Estelí vs UNAN Managua?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more