GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 8/5/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Estelí · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Real Estelí are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Jalapa are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 3 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 44.8-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Primera Division, while Real Estelí holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Estelí

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real EstelíWW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 1.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
JalapaL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Real EstelíJalapa
66.7Attack8.3
83.3Defence58.3
83.3Form25.0
78.6Power33.8
1.83xG0.73
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