GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 8/19/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Estelí · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Estelí are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while H&H Export are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 76.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Primera Division, while Real Estelí holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Estelí

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real EstelíWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
H&H ExportWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 2.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Real EstelíH&H Export
66.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence91.7
83.3Form83.3
78.6Power76.6
1.39xG1.03
View match centre →