Real Estelívs
Diriangén
SCHEDULEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 8/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Estelí · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Real Estelí are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Diriangén are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and real Estelí hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera Division, favouring Real Estelí with 13.3% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Estelí
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
13.3%
Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60