Real Espanavs
Platense FC
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/24/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Espana · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Real Espana 2-0 Platense FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Espana 4-3 Platense FC
Original prediction
Real Espana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.2% | 80.8% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.4% | 13.7% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 7.25 | 12.4% | 5.5% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Projected Score
Real Espana 2–0 Platense FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Real Espana
Probability
80.8%
Model confidence
80.8%
Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real EspanaLWWDW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Platense FCLWLDL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real EspanaPlatense FC
50.0Attack26.7
80.0Defence30.0
70.0Form26.7
68.2Power31.7
2.50xG0.34