Real Espanavs
Lobos Upnfm
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/6/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Espana · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Espana 2-0 Lobos Upnfm
Original prediction
Real Espana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.8% | 64.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.1% | 20.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 6.95 | 13.0% | 14.6% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Real Espana
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00