GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/12/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Espana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Espana are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Lobos Upnfm are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Espana hold a 63.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Liga Nacional, while Real Espana holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Espana

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

57.3%

Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real EspanaLLWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Lobos UpnfmWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Real EspanaLobos Upnfm
83.3Attack16.7
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form16.7
94.8Power31.3
1.85xG0.84
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