Real CundinamarcavsUnion Magdalena

COMPLETED

Colombia · Primera B · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Real Cundinamarca 0-0 Union Magdalena, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Final result

Real Cundinamarca 2-1 Union Magdalena

Original prediction

Union Magdalena

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.62	34.6%	30.4%	-4.2 pts
Draw	2.88	31.5%	31.4%	-0.1 pts
Away	2.68	33.9%	38.3%	4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.4 pts

Projected Score

Real Cundinamarca 0–0 Union Magdalena

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Real CundinamarcaLWWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5

Union MagdalenaLWLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5

Real CundinamarcaUnion Magdalena

37.9Attack45.7

60.6Defence69.1

36.4Form55.6

46.5Power58.0

0.72xG1.02