Real CundinamarcavsReal Santander

COMPLETED

Colombia · Primera B · 10/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cundinamarca · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Real Cundinamarca 1-0 Real Santander, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Final result

Real Cundinamarca 0-1 Real Santander

Original prediction

Real Cundinamarca

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.45	63.2%	49.6%	-13.6 pts
Draw	4.12	22.2%	27.8%	5.6 pts
Away	6.29	14.6%	22.6%	8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.6 pts

Projected Score

Real Cundinamarca 1–0 Real Santander

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Real Cundinamarca

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Real Cundinamarca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Real CundinamarcaWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5

Real SantanderLDDLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5

Real CundinamarcaReal Santander

42.3Attack28.2

62.8Defence47.4

46.2Form24.4

52.1Power36.1

1.50xG0.55