Real Cundinamarcavs
Patriotas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Cundinamarca 0-0 Patriotas, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Cundinamarca 4-1 Patriotas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.9% | 31.9% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.8% | 31.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.3% | 36.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Real Cundinamarca 0–0 Patriotas
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.7%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real CundinamarcaLDWDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PatriotasWDDWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real CundinamarcaPatriotas
31.7Attack36.8
58.3Defence63.2
30.0Form43.9
42.3Power50.0
0.73xG0.86