GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Cundinamarca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Orsomarso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Orsomarso hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.8% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

27.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CundinamarcaLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OrsomarsoDDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real CundinamarcaOrsomarso
33.3Attack27.5
59.3Defence66.7
31.5Form41.2
43.6Power47.2
0.70xG0.62
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