Real Cartagenavs
Union Magdalena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 3/23/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Real Cartagena are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Magdalena
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
15.1%
Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00