Real CartagenavsTigres FC

COMPLETED

Colombia · Primera B · 8/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Real Cartagena 1-0 Tigres FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Final result

Real Cartagena 0-3 Tigres FC

Original prediction

Real Cartagena

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.25	73.2%	59.9%	-13.4 pts
Draw	5.12	17.8%	25.3%	7.4 pts
Away	10.23	8.9%	14.9%	5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.4 pts

Projected Score

Real Cartagena 1–0 Tigres FC

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Real Cartagena

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Real CartagenaWWLDD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5

Tigres FCWWDLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5

Real CartagenaTigres FC

57.1Attack29.3

64.3Defence68.0

59.5Form41.3

60.6Power48.5

1.22xG0.55