Real Cartagenavs
Patriotas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Cartagena 1-0 Patriotas, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Cartagena 3-0 Patriotas
Original prediction
Real Cartagena
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.3% | 54.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.4% | 25.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.3% | 20.1% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Real Cartagena 1–0 Patriotas
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60