Real Cartagenavs
Orsomarso
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 3/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Real Cartagena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orsomarso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80