Real Cartagenavs
Envigado
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Cartagena 0-0 Envigado, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Cartagena 0-0 Envigado
Original prediction
Real Cartagena
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.7% | 43.7% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 27.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.59 | 19.8% | 28.4% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Projected Score
Real Cartagena 0–0 Envigado
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40