Real Cartagenavs
Chico
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 2/23/2023, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chico · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Real Cartagena are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Chico are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chico hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Copa Colombia, while Chico holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chico
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Chico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.75/0.50