Real Cartagenavs
Bogota FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Real Cartagena are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bogota FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.7% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
20.7%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00