GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Cartagena are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bogota FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.7% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Cartagena

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

20.7%

Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CartagenaDLLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bogota FCDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real CartagenaBogota FC
51.3Attack27.8
62.8Defence68.1
56.4Form41.7
57.8Power48.5
1.08xG0.55
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