GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/5/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Betis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Real Betis are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sparta Praha are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Betis hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Betis holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Betis

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real BetisWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sparta PrahaWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real BetisSparta Praha
50.0Attack61.1
61.1Defence27.8
50.0Form44.4
54.8Power45.1
2.36xG1.40
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