GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 4/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Betis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Betis are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SC Braga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Betis hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Betis holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Betis

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real BetisDDDLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SC BragaWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real BetisSC Braga
50.0Attack83.3
61.1Defence0.0
50.0Form50.0
54.8Power47.8
1.78xG1.27
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