Real Betisvs
Osasuna
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Betis 5-2 Osasuna
Original prediction
Real Betis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 63.8% | 61.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.52 | 21.1% | 22.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 6.32 | 15.1% | 15.6% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40