GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Betis are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real BetisWDLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nottingham ForestDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real BetisNottingham Forest
50.0Attack50.0
61.1Defence66.7
50.0Form56.3
54.8Power57.9
1.05xG1.19
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