GGOALVIO

Real Betis logoReal BetisvsLyon logoLyon

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World · UEFA Europa League · 11/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Betis are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lyon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real BetisWLDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LyonDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real BetisLyon
50.0Attack80.6
61.1Defence55.6
50.0Form61.1
54.8Power65.3
1.38xG1.95
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