Real Betisvs
Getafe
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Betis 1-0 Getafe
Original prediction
Real Betis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 59.2% | 51.4% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.8% | 26.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 6.00 | 16.0% | 22.2% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00