GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 10/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Betis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Real Betis 1-0 Feyenoord

Original prediction

Real Betis

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6657.6%51.2%-6.3 pts
Draw4.5021.3%23.4%2.1 pts
Away4.5121.2%25.4%4.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Real Betis

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real BetisLWWDW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FeyenoordWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Real BetisFeyenoord
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power41.7
2.42xG1.43
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