GGOALVIO

Real Betis logoReal BetisvsAris logoAris

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World · UEFA Europa League · 11/9/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Betis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Real Betis are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aris are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Betis hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Betis holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Betis

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real BetisWWWDD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ArisWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real BetisAris
50.0Attack58.3
61.1Defence29.2
50.0Form29.2
54.8Power39.5
2.22xG1.27
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