Real Betis U19vs
Porto U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porto U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Betis U19 5-0 Porto U19
Original prediction
Porto U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.1% | 37.0% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 25.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.7% | 37.3% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Porto U19
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Porto U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80