Real Betis IIvs
Xerez
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Betis II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Betis II 1-0 Xerez, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Betis II 1-1 Xerez
Original prediction
Real Betis II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 28.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.8% | 21.6% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Real Betis II 1–0 Xerez
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Real Betis II
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Real Betis II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80