Real Bedfordvs
Leighton Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Bedford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Bedford 3-2 Leighton Town
Original prediction
Real Bedford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.7% | 64.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.8% | 19.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 6.65 | 13.6% | 15.5% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Real Bedford
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Real Bedford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60