Real Bedfordvs
Bury Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Bedford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Bedford 2-2 Bury Town
Original prediction
Real Bedford
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.3% | 47.6% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.2% | 23.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.5% | 29.4% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Real Bedford
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Real Bedford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00