Real Bedfordvs
Bromsgrove Sporting
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Bedford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Bedford 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting
Original prediction
Real Bedford
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.2% | 47.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.5% | 23.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.3% | 28.7% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Real Bedford
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Real Bedford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20