Real Avilésvs
Unionistas de Salamanca
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/12/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Avilés 0-0 Unionistas de Salamanca, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Avilés 3-1 Unionistas de Salamanca
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.9% | 32.3% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.4% | 31.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.7% | 36.5% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Real Avilés 0–0 Unionistas de Salamanca
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40