GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pontevedra · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Avilés are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pontevedra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontevedra hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while Pontevedra holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pontevedra

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

14.0%

Pontevedra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real AvilésWDLDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
PontevedraWWLWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Real AvilésPontevedra
48.2Attack43.0
41.2Defence72.8
38.6Form50.9
44.8Power56.3
0.82xG1.43
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