GGOALVIO

England · Women's Championship · 9/17/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Southampton W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Reading W are 0W-3D-0L in their last 3 (DDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Southampton W are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Southampton W hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Women's Championship, while Southampton W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Southampton W

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Southampton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Reading WDDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 0/3
Southampton WLWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Reading WSouthampton W
30.3Attack59.1
39.4Defence62.1
33.3Form59.1
37.0Power60.1
0.69xG2.10
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