GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Reading are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while West Ham United U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and West Ham United U21 hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 79.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Reading

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ReadingWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
West Ham United U21LLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
ReadingWest Ham United U21
100.0Attack86.7
80.0Defence80.0
73.3Form80.0
77.6Power79.9
1.89xG1.63
View match centre →