Readingvs
Swindon Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Reading are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Swindon Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 59.1-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 18.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
79.4%
Model confidence
79.4%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40