Readingvs
Newport County
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/12/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Reading are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Newport County are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20