ReadingvsMilton Keynes Dons

Reading are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Milton Keynes Dons are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.