Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reading 3-4 Luton
Original prediction
Luton
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Luton
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
13.7%
Luton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReadingDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LutonWLWDW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ReadingLuton
49.3Attack49.3
49.3Defence59.4
42.8Form53.6
48.4Power55.4
1.25xG1.40