Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reading 1-1 Bradford
Original prediction
Reading
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.5% | 45.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 28.4% | 27.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 27.1% | 26.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReadingDWLLW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BradfordWWWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ReadingBradford
76.2Attack33.3
57.1Defence81.0
52.4Form71.4
60.3Power64.6
1.38xG0.93