Reading U21vs
Nottingham Forest U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nottingham Forest U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reading U21 2-1 Nottingham Forest U21
Original prediction
Nottingham Forest U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 30.2% | 36.3% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 23.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.4% | 40.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Nottingham Forest U21
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Nottingham Forest U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60