Reading U21vs
Everton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reading U21 0-0 Everton U21
Original prediction
Reading U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 41.4% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.3% | 24.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.8% | 34.2% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Reading U21
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Reading U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20