Reading U21vs
Bristol City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 9/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reading U21 1-2 Bristol City U21
Original prediction
Reading U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 40.9% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 22.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.2% | 36.2% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Reading U21
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Reading U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00