Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorogi FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Érdi VSE are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dorogi FC are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorogi FC hold a 32.8-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 83.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the NB III - Northwest, while Dorogi FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dorogi FC
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Dorogi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50