Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Råde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Råde are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Raelingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Råde hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Råde holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Råde
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
7.4%
Råde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 14 · avg 3.20/2.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00