Rådevs
Lillehammer
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillehammer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Råde 1-5 Lillehammer
Original prediction
Lillehammer
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.0% | 37.0% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.6% | 18.9% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.4% | 44.1% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Lillehammer
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Lillehammer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40