Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RC Kouba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RC Kouba 0-0 ASM Oran
Original prediction
RC Kouba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 03:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 52.8% | 46.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.2% | 27.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 19.0% | 25.9% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
RC Kouba
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
RC Kouba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RC KoubaDWWWW
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ASM OranWWLWL
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RC KoubaASM Oran
73.3Attack66.7
93.3Defence73.3
86.7Form60.0
83.5Power64.5
1.38xG0.96