RC Arbavs
WA Mostaganem
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 10/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RC Arba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RC Arba 2-1 WA Mostaganem
Original prediction
RC Arba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 03:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 51.8% | 36.2% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 19.3% | 35.2% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
RC Arba
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
RC Arba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RC ArbaLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WA MostaganemDDWLD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RC ArbaWA Mostaganem
16.7Attack46.7
0.0Defence53.3
0.0Form40.0
13.2Power48.5
1.04xG1.35